tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1117714673868007108.post7310740986974500365..comments2023-06-15T12:18:30.581-03:00Comments on Iron Bess of the East: Batten Down the Hatches...maybeIron Besshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10528952665201218687noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1117714673868007108.post-9299437596100951282013-02-03T21:40:36.419-04:002013-02-03T21:40:36.419-04:00Ah...well, when you put it that way I must surely ...Ah...well, when you put it that way I must surely cede yer dog given right to cuss out them weather varmints for not getting themselves their forecasts die-rektly from Baby Jeebus hizself!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1117714673868007108.post-51267592312064856782013-02-03T17:05:38.202-04:002013-02-03T17:05:38.202-04:00I hope you aren't trying to take away my right...I hope you aren't trying to take away my right to bitch about the weather. As you know it is every Canadian's right, nay duty, to bitch about the weather. As for, facts...well I say nananaboozki to them. If the Sasquatch/Baby Jesus/UFOologists can disregard in your face, black and white, scientific evidence without even a by your leave, well then by gum so can I!Iron Besshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10528952665201218687noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1117714673868007108.post-91941558895015366612013-02-03T13:18:01.611-04:002013-02-03T13:18:01.611-04:00Not to be too pissy about it but the world of weat...Not to be too pissy about it but the world of weather forecasting is *extremely* difficult. The sheer amount of variables that need to be considered (and or best guessed about) make for large degrees of uncertainty. If you want an accurate forecast don't ask them for information beyond a day or two in the future. Outside of that there are simply too many things they cannot take into account. However, this one is the key. Be honest. How many times have you complained when the forecast was bang on. How many times are you even likely to have noticed? We're a little bit anal about keeping records here and the truth is that accuracy in the short term is pretty damned good while the medium and long term is a crapshoot. Avoid the anecdotal approach and test your theory. Keep track for a couple of weeks or a month and see how accurate the next day, next couple of days, next week forecasts turn out. I'd be curious to see how that experience turns out. <br /><br />My guess is that being out on a peninsula like you are makes it *way* harder to get accurate forecasts because things can change quite suddenly and drastically. Meenwhile in our neck of the woods (as an example) the temprature forecasts (and for the most part of the actual conditions too) have been accurate to within a degree or two. At the same time we have to acknowledge that we are in a freakish little micro-climate here and will often get little or none of the precip called for while thirty clicks away it happens exactly as predicted.<br /><br />I think I'll start testing accuracy on this scale this week...it'll be interesting to me, to see how they score.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com